FanBoardHQ

Kennesaw State

Kennesaw State University · 2025 · Conference USA

FanBoardHQ CFP
#61
Efficiency
-6.7
92nd FBS
Record
10-4
Conf. record
7-1
Conf. finish
1st
of 12
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Kennesaw State went 10-4 and was ranked 61st in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 79th-ranked defense carried them, with a 91st-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 54% of offensive plays with an 88th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with a 76th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-1
Q4
10-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Expected: 10.0 wins
Strength of Record
49th
-1.7 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
108th
full season
108th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
133rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~8.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ Wake ForestACC#43L 910-13.20%5.6Q2
2@ IndianaBig Ten#1L 956-41.00%1.5Q1
3vs MerrimackFCS IndependentsW 2713+27.5100%-17.3Q4
4vs Arkansas StateSun Belt#90W 2821+7.6100%-7.9Q4
5vs Middle TennesseeConference USA#129W 2416+16.2100%-15.5Q4
7vs Louisiana TechConference USA#75W 357+0.4100%18.2Q4
9@ FIUConference USA#89W 4526+2.7100%8.0Q4
10vs UTEPConference USA#132W 3320+15.6100%-9.8Q4
11@ New Mexico StateConference USA#119W 2421+5.4100%-8.7Q4
12@ Jacksonville StateConference USA#83L 2635+2.20%-16.8Q4
13vs Missouri StateConference USA#85W 4134+5.1100%-4.8Q4
14@ LibertyConference USA#115W 4842+0.9100%-6.6Q4
15@ Jacksonville StateConference USA#83W 1915+2.2100%-2.1Q4
Postseason
vs Western MichiganMid-American#50L 641-6.30%-37.5Q3

14 played · 10-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Kennesaw State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-16.9-0.9+15.262-17-8-16188-10-9-17-5-7-2Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 76th
SR 94thYPP 53rdEPA 74th
RushingEff 88th
SR 91stYPP 103rdEPA 77th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 103rd
SR 108thYPP 100thEPA 103rd
Rush defenseEff 125th
SR 118thYPP 130thEPA 124th
Dropback rate 46%Tempo +3.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 89th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 40%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 46%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 43%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 41%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 108.0Q1 · Allowed: 76.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 61.0Q2 · Allowed: 90.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 85.0Q3 · Allowed: 68.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 107.0Q4 · Allowed: 111.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledKennesaw StateOffenseDefense
Kennesaw State Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 91st
-3.5
Field position: -0.2Finishing drives: -3.3
Field position -0.2Finishing drives -3.3= -3.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 74th · Finishing 90th

Defensive EffRanked 79th
-1.7
Field position: +0.2Finishing drives: -2.0
Field position +0.2Finishing drives -2.0= -1.7
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 61st · Finishing 84th

1.89 points per drive on offense, 1.77 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(226)41% / 59%49%6.7
Q2(278)55% / 45%43%6.0
Q3(228)50% / 50%43%6.6
Q4(218)40% / 60%36%4.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(185)10.144%8.0
2nd(133)8.547%7.7
3rd(116)9.334%6.9
4th(10)9.730%3.7
All (444)42%7.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(236)10.138%4.3
2nd(186)7.445%5.5
3rd(72)5.854%5.2
4th(12)3.583%3.8
All (506)44%4.8

Kennesaw State, all games.